Hamilton vs Alloa prediction
Scotland League One · Saturday 8 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Hamilton to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Hamilton 42% at home, a draw 29% and Alloa 29%, so its call is 1: Hamilton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 60% / 23% / 17%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Hamilton and 1.2 for Alloa; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Hamilton
Attack 2nd of 10, defence 5th of 10 in the league.
- W 5-0 at Montrose 2026-08-01
- L 1-2 at Inverness C 2026-05-02
- W 3-1 v Peterhead 2026-04-25
- W 2-0 at Montrose 2026-04-18
- W 1-0 v Alloa 2026-04-11
Alloa
Attack 6th of 10, defence 3rd of 10 in the league.
- D 0-0 v East Fife 2026-08-01
- L 1-4 v Queen of Sth 2026-05-02
- L 0-1 at Stenhousemuir 2026-04-25
- W 2-0 v East Fife 2026-04-18
- L 0-1 at Hamilton 2026-04-11
From 365 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland League One games on Sat 8 Aug
- Queen of Sth vs Peterhead · FT 0–1
- Ross County vs Montrose · FT 2–1
- Airdrie Utd vs East Kilbride · FT 1–1
- East Fife vs Cove Rangers · FT 2–0