Brit Predictor

Elgin vs Forfar prediction

Scotland League Two · Saturday 8 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeElgin 1–1 ForfarResult X

Who wins?

ElginDrawForfar
Model 1 ✗
42%30%29%
Market 1 ✗
57%24%18%

Brit Predictor's model rates Elgin to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Elgin 42% at home, a draw 30% and Forfar 29%, so its call is 1: Elgin to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 57% / 24% / 18%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Elgin and 1.0 for Forfar; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 59%
Both teams score48%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Elgin

Attack 4th of 10, defence 6th of 10 in the league.

WLDDL
  • W 5-0 at Edinburgh City 2026-08-01
  • L 0-1 v Stranraer 2026-05-02
  • D 1-1 at Spartans 2026-04-25
  • D 2-2 at Stirling 2026-04-18
  • L 0-3 v Annan Athletic 2026-04-11

Forfar

Attack 9th of 10, defence 2nd of 10 in the league.

WDWWW
  • W 1-0 v Kelty Hearts 2026-08-01
  • D 1-1 at Annan Athletic 2026-05-02
  • W 4-0 v Edinburgh City 2026-04-25
  • W 1-0 at Stranraer 2026-04-18
  • W 1-0 v East Kilbride 2026-04-11

From 365 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.

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