Carlisle vs Worthing prediction
England National League · Saturday 8 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Carlisle to win as the most likely result (72%). It gives Carlisle 72% at home, a draw 18% and Worthing 10%, so its call is 1: Carlisle to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 65% / 20% / 15%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.4 for Carlisle and 0.8 for Worthing; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 61%. Careful: there is little recent data on Worthing, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Carlisle
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Brackley Town 2026-04-25
- W 1-0 at Truro 2026-04-18
- W 3-0 v Sutton 2026-04-11
- D 2-2 at Morecambe 2026-04-06
- D 0-0 v Gateshead 2026-04-03
Worthing
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
From 1104 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
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