Estoril vs Famalicao prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Friday 7 August 2026, 21:15 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Famalicao to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Estoril 34% at home, a draw 26% and Famalicao 40%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 29% / 39%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Estoril and 1.4 for Famalicao; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Estoril
Attack 5th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 v Benfica 2026-05-16
- D 1-1 at Alverca 2026-05-10
- D 1-1 at Sp Braga 2026-05-03
- L 0-1 v Famalicao 2026-04-26
- L 0-1 at Moreirense 2026-04-20
Famalicao
Attack 7th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Alverca 2026-05-16
- D 0-0 at Estrela 2026-05-11
- D 2-2 v Benfica 2026-05-02
- W 1-0 at Estoril 2026-04-26
- D 2-2 at Sp Braga 2026-04-19
From 612 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.