Cambuur vs Excelsior prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Friday 7 August 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cambuur to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Cambuur 37% at home, a draw 29% and Excelsior 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 27% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Cambuur and 1.3 for Excelsior; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cambuur, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cambuur
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
Excelsior
Attack 12th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-2 at Sparta Rotterdam 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 v Volendam 2026-05-10
- W 3-2 at Groningen 2026-05-02
- W 5-0 v Utrecht 2026-04-26
- D 2-2 at Zwolle 2026-04-12
From 612 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.