Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction
England Championship · Wednesday 4 November 2026, 20:45 WAT
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Middlesbrough to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Wrexham 33% at home, a draw 25% and Middlesbrough 42%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 22% / 23% / 54%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Wrexham and 1.6 for Middlesbrough; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 10:21 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Wrexham
Attack 6th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Sheffield United 2026-10-30
- L 0-2 at Blackburn 2026-10-24
- W 4-1 v Preston 2026-10-17
- L 1-2 v West Brom 2026-10-13
- D 1-1 at Derby 2026-10-10
Middlesbrough
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Charlton 2026-10-31
- W 5-1 at Bolton 2026-10-23
- D 2-2 v Cardiff 2026-10-17
- W 3-2 at Stoke 2026-10-13
- W 1-0 v Wolves 2026-10-10
From 1260 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.