Lorient vs Brest prediction
France Ligue 1 · Monday 2 November 2026, 20:45 WAT
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lorient to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Lorient 49% at home, a draw 26% and Brest 25%, so its call is 1: Lorient to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 28% / 33%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Lorient and 1.1 for Brest; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Locked before kick-off (2026-11-02 11:39 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Lorient
Attack 13th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Angers 2026-10-25
- W 1-0 v Monaco 2026-10-18
- W 1-0 v Paris FC 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 at Le Mans 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 v Toulouse 2026-09-12
Brest
Attack 9th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Nice 2026-10-23
- D 1-1 at Lille 2026-10-17
- W 5-1 v Angers 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 at Auxerre 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 v Paris SG 2026-09-13
From 692 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.