Brit Predictor

Union Berlin vs FC Koln prediction

Germany Bundesliga · Sunday 1 November 2026, 15:30 WAT

Full timeUnion Berlin 1–1 FC KolnResult X

Who wins?

Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
Model 12 ✗
41%26%32%
Market 12 ✗
37%26%37%

Brit Predictor's model rates Union Berlin to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Union Berlin 41% at home, a draw 26% and FC Koln 32%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 26% / 37%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Union Berlin and 1.3 for FC Koln; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score56%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Union Berlin

Attack 15th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.

DDWLL
  • D 1-1 at Augsburg 2026-10-24
  • D 0-0 v Dortmund 2026-10-17
  • W 1-0 v Elversberg 2026-10-10
  • L 0-7 at Bayern Munich 2026-09-18
  • L 1-3 v Schalke 04 2026-09-11

FC Koln

Attack 14th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.

DLWLD
  • D 0-0 v Schalke 04 2026-10-24
  • L 0-1 at Ein Frankfurt 2026-10-16
  • W 2-1 v M'gladbach 2026-10-11
  • L 1-2 at Hamburg 2026-09-19
  • D 1-1 v Werder Bremen 2026-09-12

From 682 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.

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