St Pauli vs Nurnberg prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 1 November 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St Pauli to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives St Pauli 44% at home, a draw 30% and Nurnberg 25%, so its call is 1: St Pauli to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 25% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for St Pauli and 0.9 for Nurnberg; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on St Pauli, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
St Pauli
Attack 18th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Darmstadt 2026-10-23
- D 1-1 at Hannover 2026-10-17
- W 2-0 v Karlsruhe 2026-10-11
- D 1-1 at Cottbus 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Wolfsburg 2026-09-12
Nurnberg
Attack 4th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Kaiserslautern 2026-10-24
- D 1-1 at Cottbus 2026-10-16
- D 4-4 v Wolfsburg 2026-10-10
- W 1-0 at Karlsruhe 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 v Hannover 2026-09-11
From 699 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sun 1 Nov
- Greuther Furth vs Holstein Kiel · FT 1–0
- Hannover vs Dresden · FT 2–1