Panathinaikos vs AEK prediction
Greece Super League · Sunday 1 November 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called X2 ✗ (draw or away win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates AEK to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Panathinaikos 28% at home, a draw 35% and AEK 38%, so its call is X2: AEK to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 27% / 31%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.9 for Panathinaikos and 1.1 for AEK; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Panathinaikos
Attack 4th of 14, defence 3rd of 14 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Volos NFC 2026-10-25
- W 5-1 v Asteras Tripolis 2026-10-18
- L 0-1 at Olympiakos 2026-10-11
- W 1-0 at Kalamata 2026-09-20
- W 3-0 v Panetolikos 2026-09-13
AEK
Attack 2nd of 14, defence 2nd of 14 in the league.
- W 5-0 v Panetolikos 2026-10-24
- W 3-0 v OFI Crete 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 at Volos NFC 2026-09-20
- D 1-1 at Asteras Tripolis 2026-09-13
- W 5-0 v Aris 2026-09-05
From 525 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Greece Super League games on Sun 1 Nov
- Levadeiakos vs Aris · FT 3–0
- Panetolikos vs OFI Crete · FT 0–1
- PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis · FT 2–1