Marseille vs Toulouse prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 1 November 2026, 20:45 WAT
Full timeMarseille 2–0 ToulouseResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
MarseilleDrawToulouse
Model 1 ✓
56%22%22%
Market 1 ✓
50%24%26%
Brit Predictor's model rates Marseille to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Marseille 56% at home, a draw 22% and Toulouse 22%, so its call is 1: Marseille to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 24% / 26%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Marseille and 1.2 for Toulouse; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals2.0 – 1.2
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score62%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Marseille
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
WWWLL
- W 4-3 v Le Havre 2026-10-25
- W 5-2 at Angers 2026-10-18
- W 2-0 at Troyes 2026-10-11
- L 1-2 v Paris SG 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 at Rennes 2026-09-11
Toulouse
Attack 12th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
DWDWD
- D 0-0 v Troyes 2026-10-25
- W 3-0 at Le Mans 2026-10-16
- D 2-2 at Monaco 2026-10-10
- W 3-2 v Le Havre 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 at Lorient 2026-09-12
From 688 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 1 Nov
- Strasbourg vs Auxerre · FT 5–1
- Lyon vs Angers · FT 2–0
- Paris FC vs Monaco · FT 3–1