Lecce vs Genoa prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 1 November 2026, 18:00 WAT
Full timeLecce 1–2 GenoaResult 2
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called X2 ✓ (draw or away win): called it
Who wins?
LecceDrawGenoa
Model 2 ✓
27%31%42%
Market X2 ✓
29%31%40%
Brit Predictor's model rates Genoa to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Lecce 27% at home, a draw 31% and Genoa 42%, so its call is 2: Genoa to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 29% / 31% / 40%, a call of X2. Expected goals are 0.8 for Lecce and 1.1 for Genoa; the single most likely score is 0-1.
Expected goals0.8 – 1.1
Most likely score0-1
Over 2.5 goals32%
Both teams score39%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Lecce
Attack 18th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
LLWLL
- L 1-5 at Frosinone 2026-10-29
- L 0-2 v Juventus 2026-10-25
- W 3-0 at Udinese 2026-10-18
- L 1-2 v Bologna 2026-10-11
- L 0-3 at Milan 2026-09-20
Genoa
Attack 16th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.
WWLWL
- W 2-0 v Juventus 2026-10-28
- W 1-0 v Venezia 2026-10-25
- L 0-2 at Roma 2026-10-17
- W 2-1 v Fiorentina 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 at Parma 2026-09-20
From 853 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 1 Nov
- Como vs Venezia · FT 1–0
- Frosinone vs Torino · FT 2–0
- Lazio vs Cagliari · FT 2–1
- Juventus vs Napoli · FT 2–0