Burgos vs Castellon prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 1 November 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Burgos to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Burgos 37% at home, a draw 29% and Castellon 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 27% / 27% / 47%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Burgos and 1.0 for Castellon; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Burgos
Attack 18th of 22, defence 3rd of 22 in the league.
- W 3-2 at Andorra 2026-10-26
- W 1-0 v Sabadell 2026-10-18
- L 0-1 v Granada 2026-10-12
- L 1-2 at Almeria 2026-10-03
- W 1-0 v Eldense 2026-09-27
Castellon
Attack 3rd of 22, defence 7th of 22 in the league.
- W 4-0 v Sp Gijon 2026-10-25
- W 3-0 at Las Palmas 2026-10-17
- L 0-1 at Andorra 2026-10-11
- D 1-1 v Ceuta 2026-10-04
- W 2-0 at Leganes 2026-09-28
From 1049 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 1 Nov
- Eldense vs Granada · FT 0–2
- Ceuta vs Sp Gijon · FT 0–2
- Tenerife vs Andorra