Arezzo vs Ascoli prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 1 November 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ascoli to win as the most likely result (77%). It gives Arezzo 7% at home, a draw 16% and Ascoli 77%, so its call is 2: Ascoli to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 29% / 27% / 44%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.7 for Arezzo and 2.5 for Ascoli; the single most likely score is 0-2. Careful: there is little recent data on Arezzo, Ascoli, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Arezzo
Attack 17th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Carrarese 2026-10-28
- L 0-3 v Benevento 2026-10-24
- W 2-1 at Sampdoria 2026-10-18
- D 0-0 v Cremonese 2026-10-10
- L 1-4 v Sudtirol 2026-09-20
Ascoli
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Sampdoria 2026-10-27
- W 6-1 at Catanzaro 2026-10-24
- D 1-1 v Empoli 2026-10-17
- D 0-0 at Sudtirol 2026-10-10
- W 3-1 v Avellino 2026-09-19
From 855 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 1 Nov
- Avellino vs Pisa · FT 2–0
- Empoli vs Juve Stabia · FT 2–2
- Verona vs Carrarese · FT 3–0
- Palermo vs Vicenza · FT 3–1