Brit Predictor

M'gladbach vs Paderborn prediction

Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:30 WAT

Full timeM'gladbach 0–0 PaderbornResult X

Who wins?

M'gladbachDrawPaderborn
Model 1 ✗
45%30%25%
Market 1 ✗
48%24%28%

Brit Predictor's model rates M'gladbach to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives M'gladbach 45% at home, a draw 30% and Paderborn 25%, so its call is 1: M'gladbach to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 24% / 28%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for M'gladbach and 0.9 for Paderborn; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Paderborn, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.3 – 0.9
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams score42%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

M'gladbach

Attack 13th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.

WLLLL
  • W 3-2 at Stuttgart 2026-10-23
  • L 1-2 v Hoffenheim 2026-10-18
  • L 1-2 at FC Koln 2026-10-11
  • L 3-4 v Mainz 2026-09-19
  • L 0-5 at Freiburg 2026-09-12

Paderborn

Attack 17th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.

WDLWL
  • W 1-0 v Hamburg 2026-10-24
  • D 2-2 at Werder Bremen 2026-10-17
  • L 0-2 v Stuttgart 2026-10-10
  • W 3-1 v Hoffenheim 2026-09-20
  • L 0-3 at Dortmund 2026-09-12

From 676 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.

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