Chelsea vs Man United prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 31 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
Full timeChelsea 2–0 Man UnitedResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
ChelseaDrawMan United
Model 1 ✓
45%25%29%
Market 1 ✓
53%24%23%
Brit Predictor's model rates Chelsea to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Chelsea 45% at home, a draw 25% and Man United 29%, so its call is 1: Chelsea to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 24% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.8 for Chelsea and 1.4 for Man United; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.8 – 1.4
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score64%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Chelsea
Attack 5th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.
LWWLD
- L 0-2 v Tottenham 2026-10-24
- W 2-0 at Everton 2026-10-17
- W 5-1 v Bournemouth 2026-10-10
- L 0-3 at Brentford 2026-09-18
- D 2-2 v Hull 2026-09-12
Man United
Attack 9th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
LDDDL
- L 0-3 v Bournemouth 2026-10-25
- D 1-1 at Leeds 2026-10-18
- D 1-1 v Tottenham 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 at Fulham 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 v Man City 2026-09-13
From 840 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 31 Oct
- Bournemouth vs Leeds · FT 2–0
- Brentford vs Nott'm Forest · FT 2–0
- Coventry vs Sunderland · FT 3–1
- Hull vs Ipswich · FT 2–2
- Man City vs Brighton · FT 0–1
- Tottenham vs Crystal Palace · FT 2–0
- Aston Villa vs Fulham · FT 1–1