Brit Predictor

Catanzaro vs Padova prediction

Italy Serie B · Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:15 WAT

Full timeCatanzaro 1–1 PadovaResult X

Who wins?

CatanzaroDrawPadova
Model 1 ✗
47%28%25%
Market 12 ✗
40%27%33%

Brit Predictor's model rates Catanzaro to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Catanzaro 47% at home, a draw 28% and Padova 25%, so its call is 1: Catanzaro to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 40% / 27% / 33%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.6 for Catanzaro and 1.1 for Padova; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score54%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Catanzaro

Attack 5th of 20, defence 18th of 20 in the league.

DLDLL
  • D 1-1 at Benevento 2026-10-27
  • L 1-6 v Ascoli 2026-10-24
  • D 2-2 at Verona 2026-10-16
  • L 1-3 v Mantova 2026-10-11
  • L 1-2 at Sampdoria 2026-09-19

Padova

Attack 18th of 20, defence 6th of 20 in the league.

WWLLL
  • W 2-0 v Sudtirol 2026-10-27
  • W 1-0 at Avellino 2026-10-24
  • L 1-2 v Virtus Entella 2026-10-17
  • L 0-2 v Carrarese 2026-10-11
  • L 1-2 at Palermo 2026-09-19

From 850 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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