Accrington vs Northampton prediction
England League Two · Saturday 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates a draw as the most likely result (39%). It gives Accrington 36% at home, a draw 39% and Northampton 25%, so its call is 1X: Accrington to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 28% / 27%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 0.8 for Accrington and 0.6 for Northampton; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Northampton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Accrington
Attack 14th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.
- W 5-0 at Rochdale 2026-10-24
- D 1-1 at York 2026-10-20
- W 3-1 v Gillingham 2026-10-17
- D 0-0 at Oldham 2026-10-10
- W 2-0 v Cheltenham 2026-10-03
Northampton
Attack 24th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Colchester 2026-10-24
- L 0-1 v Tranmere 2026-10-20
- W 2-0 at Grimsby 2026-10-17
- D 1-1 at York 2026-10-10
- L 0-1 v Rotherham 2026-09-19
From 1256 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 31 Oct
- Grimsby vs York · FT 5–2
- Port Vale vs Rochdale · FT 4–2
- Colchester vs Walsall · FT 1–3
- Crewe vs Barnet · FT 1–1
- Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rvs · FT 3–1
- Oldham vs Crawley Town · FT 0–1
- Salford vs Exeter · FT 2–1
- Shrewsbury vs Gillingham · FT 1–2
- Swindon vs Rotherham · FT 2–1
- Tranmere vs Cheltenham · FT 3–1