Stenhousemuir vs Livingston prediction
Scotland Championship · Friday 30 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 1X ✗ (home win or draw): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates a draw as the most likely result (39%). It gives Stenhousemuir 36% at home, a draw 39% and Livingston 25%, so its call is 1X: Stenhousemuir to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 20% / 24% / 57%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.9 for Stenhousemuir and 0.7 for Livingston; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Stenhousemuir, Livingston, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Stenhousemuir
Attack 6th of 10, defence 1st of 10 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Dunfermline 2026-10-27
- L 0-3 at Partick 2026-10-24
- D 1-1 v Raith Rvs 2026-10-17
- L 0-2 at Inverness C 2026-10-10
- W 1-0 at Ayr 2026-09-25
Livingston
Attack 2nd of 10, defence 3rd of 10 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Arbroath 2026-10-24
- D 0-0 at Dunfermline 2026-10-17
- L 1-2 v Partick 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 v Ayr 2026-10-03
- W 2-0 at Raith Rvs 2026-09-25
From 419 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.