Newport County vs Chesterfield prediction
England League Two · Friday 30 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Full timeNewport County 4–1 ChesterfieldResult 1
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Newport CountyDrawChesterfield
Model 2 ✗
25%24%50%
Market 2 ✗
22%25%53%
Brit Predictor's model rates Chesterfield to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Newport County 25% at home, a draw 24% and Chesterfield 50%, so its call is 2: Chesterfield to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 22% / 25% / 53%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.1 for Newport County and 1.7 for Chesterfield; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.1 – 1.7
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score56%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Newport County
Attack 19th of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.
LDDWD
- L 0-1 at Cheltenham 2026-10-24
- D 2-2 at Rotherham 2026-10-20
- D 1-1 v York 2026-10-17
- W 1-0 v Colchester 2026-10-10
- D 0-0 at Gillingham 2026-10-03
Chesterfield
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 8th of 24 in the league.
WDLDW
- W 5-1 v Crewe 2026-10-24
- D 1-1 v Colchester 2026-10-20
- L 0-1 at Port Vale 2026-10-17
- D 2-2 at Crawley Town 2026-10-10
- W 4-2 v Tranmere 2026-10-03
From 1255 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.