Casa Pia vs Sp Lisbon prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Friday 30 October 2026, 21:15 WAT
Full timeCasa Pia 0–2 Sp LisbonResult 2
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Casa PiaDrawSp Lisbon
Model 2 ✓
12%81%
Market 2 ✓
16%76%
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Lisbon to win as the most likely result (81%). It gives Casa Pia 7% at home, a draw 12% and Sp Lisbon 81%, so its call is 2: Sp Lisbon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 9% / 16% / 76%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.7 for Casa Pia and 2.7 for Sp Lisbon; the single most likely score is 0-2.
Expected goals0.7 – 2.7
Most likely score0-2
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams score45%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Casa Pia
Attack 18th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
WLWLD
- W 2-0 at Estrela 2026-10-24
- L 0-1 v Santa Clara 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 at Estoril 2026-09-20
- L 1-4 v Porto 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 at Guimaraes 2026-09-06
Sp Lisbon
Attack 1st of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
LWDDW
- L 1-2 v Academico Viseu 2026-10-25
- W 3-1 at Sp Braga 2026-10-09
- D 2-2 v Arouca 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 at Famalicao 2026-09-13
- W 2-0 v Nacional 2026-09-05
From 693 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.