Carrarese vs Arezzo prediction
Italy Serie B · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Carrarese to win as the most likely result (62%). It gives Carrarese 62% at home, a draw 23% and Arezzo 15%, so its call is 1: Carrarese to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 52% / 26% / 21%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.1 for Carrarese and 0.9 for Arezzo; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Arezzo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Carrarese
Attack 14th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Palermo 2026-10-25
- W 2-1 v Modena 2026-10-17
- W 2-0 at Padova 2026-10-11
- L 0-1 v Benevento 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Catanzaro 2026-09-12
Arezzo
Attack 17th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-3 v Benevento 2026-10-24
- W 2-1 at Sampdoria 2026-10-18
- D 0-0 v Cremonese 2026-10-10
- L 1-4 v Sudtirol 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 at Empoli 2026-09-11
From 847 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Wed 28 Oct
- Pisa vs Palermo · FT 3–3
- Juve Stabia vs Verona · FT 0–1