Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline prediction
Scotland Championship · Tuesday 27 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Stenhousemuir to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Stenhousemuir 50% at home, a draw 35% and Dunfermline 15%, so its call is 1: Stenhousemuir to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 20% / 25% / 55%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Stenhousemuir and 0.5 for Dunfermline; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Stenhousemuir, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Stenhousemuir
Attack 5th of 10, defence 1st of 10 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Partick 2026-10-24
- D 1-1 v Raith Rvs 2026-10-17
- L 0-2 at Inverness C 2026-10-10
- W 1-0 at Ayr 2026-09-25
- W 1-0 v Arbroath 2026-09-19
Dunfermline
Attack 7th of 10, defence 5th of 10 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Queens Park 2026-10-24
- D 1-1 v Partick 2026-10-20
- D 0-0 v Livingston 2026-10-17
- D 1-1 at Ayr 2026-10-10
- W 1-0 at Morton 2026-09-19
From 418 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.