Brit Predictor

Leicester vs Wigan prediction

England League One · Tuesday 27 October 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeLeicester 3–0 WiganResult 1

Who wins?

LeicesterDrawWigan
Model 1 ✓
47%27%26%
Market 1 ✓
71%17%12%

Brit Predictor's model rates Leicester to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Leicester 47% at home, a draw 27% and Wigan 26%, so its call is 1: Leicester to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 71% / 17% / 12%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Leicester and 1.0 for Wigan; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Leicester, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score48%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Leicester

Attack 9th of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.

LWWLD
  • L 1-2 at Luton 2026-10-24
  • W 4-0 at Bromley 2026-10-20
  • W 2-1 v Doncaster 2026-10-17
  • L 1-3 v Peterboro 2026-10-10
  • D 1-1 at Barnsley 2026-09-19

Wigan

Attack 23rd of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.

LLWLL
  • L 1-2 at Huddersfield 2026-10-24
  • L 1-2 at Oxford 2026-10-20
  • W 1-0 v Reading 2026-10-17
  • L 0-1 at Stevenage 2026-10-10
  • L 0-1 v Wycombe 2026-09-19

From 1242 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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