Fylde vs Hartlepool prediction
England National League · Tuesday 27 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Fylde to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Fylde 44% at home, a draw 26% and Hartlepool 30%, so its call is 1: Fylde to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 54% / 23% / 23%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Fylde and 1.2 for Hartlepool; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Fylde, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Fylde
Attack 13th of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-4 at Boreham Wood 2026-10-24
- W 2-0 v Scunthorpe 2026-10-10
- L 1-3 at Southend 2026-10-03
- L 0-2 v Carlisle 2026-09-29
- W 1-0 at Boston Utd 2026-09-26
Hartlepool
Attack 22nd of 24, defence 11th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Hornchurch 2026-10-24
- W 4-2 at Forest Green 2026-10-10
- L 0-1 v Tamworth 2026-10-03
- L 0-1 v Harrogate 2026-09-29
- L 1-4 at Scunthorpe 2026-09-26
From 1269 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Tue 27 Oct
- Worthing vs Southend · FT 3–3
- Woking vs Boreham Wood · FT 1–2
- Tamworth vs Scunthorpe · FT 4–1
- Hornchurch vs Yeovil · FT 1–2
- Wealdstone vs Solihull · FT 2–3
- Boston Utd vs Gateshead · FT 2–1
- Altrincham vs Kidderminster · FT 0–0
- Halifax vs Barrow · FT 2–3