Ascoli vs Sampdoria prediction
Italy Serie B · Tuesday 27 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ascoli to win as the most likely result (74%). It gives Ascoli 74% at home, a draw 19% and Sampdoria 7%, so its call is 1: Ascoli to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 28% / 27%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.1 for Ascoli and 0.5 for Sampdoria; the single most likely score is 2-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Ascoli, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Ascoli
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
- W 6-1 at Catanzaro 2026-10-24
- D 1-1 v Empoli 2026-10-17
- D 0-0 at Sudtirol 2026-10-10
- W 3-1 v Avellino 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Padova 2026-09-12
Sampdoria
Attack 20th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Sudtirol 2026-10-24
- L 1-2 v Arezzo 2026-10-18
- L 1-4 at Avellino 2026-10-09
- W 2-1 v Catanzaro 2026-09-19
- L 0-2 at Mantova 2026-09-13
From 840 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Tue 27 Oct
- Benevento vs Catanzaro · FT 1–1
- Vicenza vs Modena · FT 1–2
- Virtus Entella vs Avellino · FT 1–1
- Padova vs Sudtirol · FT 2–0
- Cesena vs Empoli · FT 2–1
- Mantova vs Cremonese · FT 0–2