Santa Clara vs Benfica prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Monday 26 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Benfica to win as the most likely result (60%). It gives Santa Clara 17% at home, a draw 23% and Benfica 60%, so its call is 2: Benfica to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 11% / 18% / 72%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.7 for Santa Clara and 1.7 for Benfica; the single most likely score is 0-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Santa Clara
Attack 15th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Casa Pia 2026-10-10
- D 0-0 v Sp Braga 2026-09-20
- W 2-1 at Arouca 2026-09-13
- W 4-0 v Rio Ave 2026-09-06
- D 1-1 at Alverca 2026-08-29
Benfica
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Guimaraes 2026-10-11
- L 1-3 at Porto 2026-09-20
- W 3-1 v Gil Vicente 2026-09-13
- W 4-0 at Moreirense 2026-09-09
- W 3-0 at Maritimo 2026-09-05
From 692 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.