Andorra vs Burgos prediction
Spain Segunda · Monday 26 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
Full timeAndorra 2–3 BurgosResult 2
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
AndorraDrawBurgos
Model 12 ✓
38%30%32%
Market 1 ✗
46%28%25%
Brit Predictor's model rates Andorra to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Andorra 38% at home, a draw 30% and Burgos 32%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 28% / 25%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.1 for Andorra and 1.0 for Burgos; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals1.1 – 1.0
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams score42%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Andorra
Attack 6th of 22, defence 14th of 22 in the league.
LWDWL
- L 0-2 at Girona 2026-10-18
- W 1-0 v Castellon 2026-10-11
- D 0-0 at Sabadell 2026-10-04
- W 3-2 at Granada 2026-09-26
- L 1-3 v Sp Gijon 2026-09-19
Burgos
Attack 19th of 22, defence 3rd of 22 in the league.
WLLWW
- W 1-0 v Sabadell 2026-10-18
- L 0-1 v Granada 2026-10-12
- L 1-2 at Almeria 2026-10-03
- W 1-0 v Eldense 2026-09-27
- W 2-1 at Las Palmas 2026-09-20
From 1044 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.