Verona vs Pisa prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:15 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Pisa to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Verona 37% at home, a draw 23% and Pisa 40%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 27% / 28%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.9 for Verona and 2.0 for Pisa; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Verona, Pisa, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Verona
Attack 1st of 20, defence 18th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Catanzaro 2026-10-16
- L 2-3 at Modena 2026-10-11
- W 2-1 v Vicenza 2026-09-20
- L 1-3 at Benevento 2026-09-11
- W 5-0 v Arezzo 2026-09-06
Pisa
Attack 3rd of 20, defence 6th of 20 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Cremonese 2026-10-17
- W 3-0 at Vicenza 2026-10-10
- D 2-2 at Mantova 2026-09-20
- L 1-4 v Virtus Entella 2026-09-11
- W 3-0 at Juve Stabia 2026-09-06
From 838 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 25 Oct
- Palermo vs Carrarese · FT 2–1