Brit Predictor

Liverpool vs Brighton prediction

England Premier League · Sunday 25 October 2026, 15:00 WAT

Full timeLiverpool 2–0 BrightonResult 1

Who wins?

LiverpoolDrawBrighton
Model 12 ✓
42%25%33%
Market 1 ✓
49%24%27%

Brit Predictor's model rates Liverpool to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Liverpool 42% at home, a draw 25% and Brighton 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 24% / 27%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Liverpool and 1.5 for Brighton; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.7 – 1.5
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score64%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Liverpool

Attack 4th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.

WLWDW
  • W 2-1 at Brentford 2026-10-17
  • L 0-3 v Man City 2026-10-11
  • W 1-0 at Bournemouth 2026-09-20
  • D 0-0 v Fulham 2026-09-12
  • W 2-0 at Ipswich 2026-09-04

Brighton

Attack 2nd of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.

WWWWD
  • W 5-0 v Crystal Palace 2026-10-18
  • W 2-0 at Sunderland 2026-10-10
  • W 3-0 v Arsenal 2026-09-19
  • W 5-0 at Coventry 2026-09-13
  • D 1-1 v Leeds 2026-09-05

From 835 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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