Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 25 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Atalanta to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Atalanta 41% at home, a draw 24% and Frosinone 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 22% / 28%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Atalanta and 1.5 for Frosinone; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Frosinone, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Atalanta
Attack 5th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.
- L 2-3 at Milan 2026-10-18
- W 3-1 v Venezia 2026-10-12
- L 0-2 at Juventus 2026-09-20
- L 1-2 v Cagliari 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 at Roma 2026-09-05
Frosinone
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.
- W 4-2 v Sassuolo 2026-10-16
- L 0-3 at Napoli 2026-10-10
- W 2-0 v Como 2026-09-20
- D 1-1 at Genoa 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 v Venezia 2026-09-06
From 835 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 25 Oct
- Inter vs Fiorentina · FT 2–1
- Genoa vs Venezia · FT 1–0
- Lecce vs Juventus · FT 0–2
- Udinese vs Milan · FT 0–2