Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction
England League One · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Stevenage to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Stevenage 56% at home, a draw 26% and Milton Keynes Dons 18%, so its call is 1: Stevenage to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 47% / 27% / 26%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Stevenage and 0.7 for Milton Keynes Dons; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Milton Keynes Dons, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Stevenage
Attack 18th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Plymouth 2026-10-20
- L 0-2 at Bradford 2026-10-17
- W 1-0 v Wigan 2026-10-10
- L 0-1 at Leyton Orient 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 v Luton 2026-09-10
Milton Keynes Dons
Attack 20th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Blackpool 2026-10-20
- W 2-1 v Luton 2026-10-17
- L 1-5 v Reading 2026-10-10
- D 0-0 at AFC Wimbledon 2026-09-17
- D 1-1 v Peterboro 2026-09-12
From 1230 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League One games on Sat 24 Oct
- Luton vs Leicester · FT 2–1
- Huddersfield vs Wigan · FT 2–1
- Reading vs Barnsley · FT 2–1
- Notts County vs Stockport · FT 1–1
- Oxford vs Bradford · FT 0–0
- Doncaster vs Sheffield Weds · FT 2–0
- Blackpool vs Mansfield · FT 1–4
- Burton vs Leyton Orient · FT 2–1
- Bromley vs Peterboro · FT 1–1
- AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe · FT 1–1
- Cambridge vs Plymouth · FT 2–3