St Etienne vs Nantes prediction
France Ligue 2 · Saturday 24 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St Etienne to win as the most likely result (79%). It gives St Etienne 79% at home, a draw 13% and Nantes 8%, so its call is 1: St Etienne to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 24% / 21%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 3.0 for St Etienne and 0.9 for Nantes; the single most likely score is 2-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Nantes, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
St Etienne
Attack 1st of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Red Star 2026-10-17
- W 2-0 v Rodez 2026-10-10
- D 2-2 at Metz 2026-09-19
- L 1-2 at Dunkerque 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v Montpellier 2026-09-05
Nantes
Attack 12th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 2-3 v Dunkerque 2026-10-17
- D 0-0 v Reims 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 at Boulogne 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Sochaux 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 v Nancy 2026-09-07
From 697 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Sat 24 Oct
- Dijon vs Rodez · FT 1–2