Partick vs Stenhousemuir prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✗ (draw or away win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates a draw as the most likely result (43%). It gives Partick 20% at home, a draw 43% and Stenhousemuir 37%, so its call is X2: Stenhousemuir to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 70% / 19% / 11%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.5 for Partick and 0.8 for Stenhousemuir; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Stenhousemuir, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Partick
Attack 5th of 10, defence 2nd of 10 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Dunfermline 2026-10-20
- W 1-0 at Ayr 2026-10-16
- W 2-1 at Livingston 2026-10-10
- W 3-0 v Arbroath 2026-10-03
- D 0-0 v Raith Rvs 2026-09-19
Stenhousemuir
Attack 4th of 10, defence 1st of 10 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Raith Rvs 2026-10-17
- L 0-2 at Inverness C 2026-10-10
- W 1-0 at Ayr 2026-09-25
- W 1-0 v Arbroath 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 v Partick 2026-09-15
From 414 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 24 Oct
- Livingston vs Arbroath · FT 1–0
- Queens Park vs Dunfermline · FT 0–1
- Raith Rvs vs Inverness C · FT 0–2