Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel SK prediction
Belgium Pro League · Saturday 24 October 2026, 18:15 WAT
- Model called X2 ✓ (draw or away win): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lommel SK to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Oud-Heverlee Leuven 26% at home, a draw 33% and Lommel SK 41%, so its call is X2: Lommel SK to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 51% / 25% / 24%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.8 for Oud-Heverlee Leuven and 1.1 for Lommel SK; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Lommel SK, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Attack 17th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at St. Gilloise 2026-10-11
- W 2-0 v RAAL La Louviere 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Cercle Brugge 2026-09-12
- L 0-3 at Beveren 2026-09-06
- L 0-1 at Gent 2026-09-03
Lommel SK
Attack 13th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Beveren 2026-10-09
- D 0-0 v Mechelen 2026-09-19
- L 0-5 at St. Gilloise 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Club Brugge 2026-09-04
- W 1-0 at Cercle Brugge 2026-08-29
From 695 league matches since 2024-07-26, recent games weighted more.
More Belgium Pro League games on Sat 24 Oct
- Antwerp vs Charleroi · FT 3–0
- RAAL La Louviere vs Waregem · FT 3–0
- Westerlo vs Beveren · FT 4–4