Lens vs Paris FC prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 24 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Full timeLens 2–1 Paris FCResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
LensDrawParis FC
Model 1 ✓
52%25%24%
Market 12 ✓
41%26%33%
Brit Predictor's model rates Lens to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Lens 52% at home, a draw 25% and Paris FC 24%, so its call is 1: Lens to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 26% / 33%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for Lens and 1.1 for Paris FC; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.7 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score55%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Lens
Attack 5th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
WWLDL
- W 3-1 at Troyes 2026-10-17
- W 2-1 v Lyon 2026-10-09
- L 1-2 at Monaco 2026-09-18
- D 2-2 at Le Mans 2026-09-13
- L 0-1 v Lorient 2026-09-05
Paris FC
Attack 8th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
WLWDW
- W 4-3 v Rennes 2026-10-18
- L 0-1 at Lorient 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 v Strasbourg 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 v Lyon 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 at Marseille 2026-09-06
From 676 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.