Hartlepool vs Hornchurch prediction
England National League · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Hartlepool to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Hartlepool 38% at home, a draw 29% and Hornchurch 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 26% / 26%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Hartlepool and 1.1 for Hornchurch; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Hornchurch, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Hartlepool
Attack 23rd of 24, defence 13th of 24 in the league.
- W 4-2 at Forest Green 2026-10-10
- L 0-1 v Tamworth 2026-10-03
- L 0-1 v Harrogate 2026-09-29
- L 1-4 at Scunthorpe 2026-09-26
- L 1-3 v Worthing 2026-09-19
Hornchurch
Attack 19th of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Eastleigh 2026-10-10
- L 0-3 at Harrogate 2026-10-03
- W 2-1 v Aldershot 2026-09-29
- L 0-3 at Altrincham 2026-09-26
- W 1-0 v Scunthorpe 2026-09-19
From 1259 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 24 Oct
- Eastleigh vs Boston Utd · FT 4–2
- Harrogate vs Sutton · FT 3–1
- Solihull vs Carlisle · FT 1–2
- Yeovil vs Altrincham · FT 1–2
- Southend vs Halifax · FT 2–2
- Scunthorpe vs Woking · FT 2–3
- Boreham Wood vs Fylde · FT 4–0
- Aldershot vs Wealdstone · FT 0–1
- Kidderminster vs Worthing · FT 1–2