Ath Madrid vs La Coruna prediction
Spain La Liga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ath Madrid to win as the most likely result (67%). It gives Ath Madrid 67% at home, a draw 20% and La Coruna 13%, so its call is 1: Ath Madrid to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 79% / 14% / 8%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.2 for Ath Madrid and 0.9 for La Coruna; the single most likely score is 2-0. Careful: there is little recent data on La Coruna, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Ath Madrid
Attack 4th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Espanol 2026-10-17
- W 2-1 at Alaves 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 v Real Madrid 2026-09-20
- W 4-0 v Osasuna 2026-09-16
- W 3-0 at Sociedad 2026-09-13
La Coruna
Attack 10th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Levante 2026-10-16
- L 2-3 at Sociedad 2026-10-11
- D 1-1 v Betis 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 v Sevilla 2026-09-16
- D 1-1 at Getafe 2026-09-13
From 850 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sat 24 Oct
- Vallecano vs Elche · FT 0–3
- Santander vs Espanol · FT 2–1
- Valencia vs Villarreal · FT 1–2