Aston Villa vs Man City prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
Full timeAston Villa 2–1 Man CityResult 1
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Aston VillaDrawMan City
Model 2 ✗
23%26%51%
Market 2 ✗
20%20%60%
Brit Predictor's model rates Man City to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Aston Villa 23% at home, a draw 26% and Man City 51%, so its call is 2: Man City to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 20% / 20% / 60%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.1 for Aston Villa and 1.8 for Man City; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.1 – 1.8
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score57%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Aston Villa
Attack 10th of 20, defence 9th of 20 in the league.
WDWLD
- W 1-0 at Newcastle 2026-10-17
- D 2-2 v Brentford 2026-10-10
- W 3-2 at Tottenham 2026-09-19
- L 1-2 v Nott'm Forest 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 at Hull 2026-09-05
Man City
Attack 1st of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
WWWWW
- W 3-2 v Ipswich 2026-10-17
- W 3-0 at Liverpool 2026-10-11
- W 5-3 v Sunderland 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 at Man United 2026-09-13
- W 1-0 v Coventry 2026-09-05
From 831 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 24 Oct
- Arsenal vs Everton · FT 2–0
- Coventry vs Fulham · FT 0–1
- Chelsea vs Tottenham · FT 0–2