Brit Predictor

Torino vs Monza prediction

Italy Serie A · Friday 23 October 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeTorino 3–2 MonzaResult 1

Who wins?

TorinoDrawMonza
Model 1 ✓
53%22%25%
Market 1 ✓
46%27%27%

Brit Predictor's model rates Torino to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Torino 53% at home, a draw 22% and Monza 25%, so its call is 1: Torino to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 27% / 27%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.9 for Torino and 1.3 for Monza; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Monza, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.9 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score61%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Torino

Attack 13th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.

WWDLW
  • W 3-0 at Parma 2026-10-19
  • W 2-1 v Udinese 2026-10-12
  • D 1-1 at Bologna 2026-09-19
  • L 0-2 v Roma 2026-09-14
  • W 2-1 at Fiorentina 2026-09-05

Monza

Attack 15th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.

WLWLD
  • W 4-0 v Cagliari 2026-10-19
  • L 1-3 at Lazio 2026-10-11
  • W 2-1 v Sassuolo 2026-09-18
  • L 2-3 at Lecce 2026-09-13
  • D 1-1 at Parma 2026-09-06

From 830 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Fri 23 Oct