Empoli vs Vicenza prediction
Italy Serie B · Friday 23 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Empoli to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Empoli 55% at home, a draw 24% and Vicenza 22%, so its call is 1: Empoli to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 28% / 35%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.0 for Empoli and 1.2 for Vicenza; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Vicenza, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Empoli
Attack 11th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Ascoli 2026-10-17
- L 2-4 v Palermo 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 at Modena 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 v Arezzo 2026-09-11
- W 1-0 at Carrarese 2026-09-05
Vicenza
Attack 8th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Benevento 2026-10-17
- L 0-3 v Pisa 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 at Verona 2026-09-20
- D 1-1 v Juve Stabia 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 at Virtus Entella 2026-09-06
From 830 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.