Dunkerque vs Metz prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 23 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Metz to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Dunkerque 34% at home, a draw 23% and Metz 43%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 25% / 41%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Dunkerque and 1.7 for Metz; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Metz, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Dunkerque
Attack 6th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-2 at Nantes 2026-10-17
- L 0-1 v Annecy 2026-10-09
- L 0-2 at Pau FC 2026-09-18
- W 2-1 v St Etienne 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Clermont 2026-09-04
Metz
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-2 v Sochaux 2026-10-17
- L 2-4 at Dijon 2026-10-12
- D 2-2 v St Etienne 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Red Star 2026-09-14
- W 4-1 v Rodez 2026-09-05
From 692 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 23 Oct
- Sochaux vs Annecy · FT 1–3
- Nancy vs Laval · FT 1–0
- Pau FC vs Grenoble · FT 2–1
- Clermont vs Guingamp · FT 0–2