Darmstadt vs St Pauli prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Friday 23 October 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St Pauli to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Darmstadt 32% at home, a draw 29% and St Pauli 38%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 27% / 41%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.1 for Darmstadt and 1.2 for St Pauli; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on St Pauli, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Darmstadt
Attack 10th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-4 at Karlsruhe 2026-10-18
- W 3-1 v Cottbus 2026-10-10
- L 1-5 at Wolfsburg 2026-09-18
- W 2-1 v Bielefeld 2026-09-11
- L 0-3 at Kaiserslautern 2026-09-05
St Pauli
Attack 15th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Hannover 2026-10-17
- W 2-0 v Karlsruhe 2026-10-11
- D 1-1 at Cottbus 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Wolfsburg 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 at Bielefeld 2026-09-04
From 684 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Fri 23 Oct
- Bochum vs Wolfsburg · FT 1–1