Brest vs Nice prediction
France Ligue 1 · Friday 23 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Full timeBrest 1–2 NiceResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
BrestDrawNice
Model 1 ✗
46%25%29%
Market 12 ✓
40%27%33%
Brit Predictor's model rates Brest to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Brest 46% at home, a draw 25% and Nice 29%, so its call is 1: Brest to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 40% / 27% / 33%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.7 for Brest and 1.3 for Nice; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score59%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Brest
Attack 10th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
DWLLW
- D 1-1 at Lille 2026-10-17
- W 5-1 v Angers 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 at Auxerre 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 v Paris SG 2026-09-13
- W 2-1 at Le Havre 2026-09-05
Nice
Attack 14th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
LWWLD
- L 1-2 at Lyon 2026-10-18
- W 2-1 v Strasbourg 2026-10-11
- W 2-1 v Lille 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 at Auxerre 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Le Mans 2026-09-05
From 675 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.