Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction
Turkey Super Lig · Friday 23 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Full timeAlanyaspor 1–2 KocaelisporResult 2
- Model called 1X ✗ (home win or draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
AlanyasporDrawKocaelispor
Model 1X ✗
41%37%23%
Market 1 ✗
46%29%25%
Brit Predictor's model rates Alanyaspor to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Alanyaspor 41% at home, a draw 37% and Kocaelispor 23%, so its call is 1X: Alanyaspor to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 29% / 25%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.0 for Alanyaspor and 0.7 for Kocaelispor; the single most likely score is 0-0.
Expected goals1.0 – 0.7
Most likely score0-0
Over 2.5 goals23%
Both teams score32%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Alanyaspor
Attack 13th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
LDWDW
- L 0-3 at Fenerbahce 2026-10-17
- D 0-0 v Erzurumspor 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 at Corum 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 v Goztep 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 at Rizespor 2026-09-07
Kocaelispor
Attack 17th of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
LLWLW
- L 1-2 v Goztep 2026-10-18
- L 1-2 at Besiktas 2026-10-11
- W 2-0 v Gaziantep 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Galatasaray 2026-09-13
- W 1-0 v Samsunspor 2026-09-06
From 720 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.