Levante vs Ath Bilbao prediction
Spain La Liga · Wednesday 21 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Levante to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Levante 39% at home, a draw 27% and Ath Bilbao 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 29% / 29% / 42%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Levante and 1.2 for Ath Bilbao; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Levante
Attack 9th of 20, defence 18th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at La Coruna 2026-10-16
- D 3-3 v Sevilla 2026-10-12
- L 1-3 at Villarreal 2026-09-20
- L 2-4 v Barcelona 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 at Malaga 2026-09-06
Ath Bilbao
Attack 13th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Valencia 2026-10-17
- D 0-0 v Alaves 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Elche 2026-09-12
- W 3-0 v Ath Madrid 2026-09-05
- W 2-0 at Celta 2026-08-30
From 848 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.