Tottenham vs Coventry prediction
England Premier League · Monday 19 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Tottenham to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Tottenham 47% at home, a draw 28% and Coventry 25%, so its call is 1: Tottenham to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 63% / 20% / 16%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Tottenham and 1.1 for Coventry; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Coventry, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Tottenham
Attack 13th of 20, defence 19th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Man United 2026-10-10
- L 2-3 v Aston Villa 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 v Everton 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 at Nott'm Forest 2026-09-05
- L 0-2 v Newcastle 2026-08-29
Coventry
Attack 20th of 20, defence 18th of 20 in the league.
- W 4-1 v Newcastle 2026-10-12
- W 1-0 at Nott'm Forest 2026-09-19
- L 0-5 v Brighton 2026-09-13
- L 0-1 at Man City 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 v Hull 2026-08-29
From 829 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.