Sp Braga vs Gil Vicente prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Monday 19 October 2026, 21:15 WAT
Full timeSp Braga 1–2 Gil VicenteResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Sp BragaDrawGil Vicente
Model 1 ✗
54%25%21%
Market 1 ✗
55%26%19%
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Braga to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Sp Braga 54% at home, a draw 25% and Gil Vicente 21%, so its call is 1: Sp Braga to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 26% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sp Braga and 0.8 for Gil Vicente; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals1.5 – 0.8
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score44%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Sp Braga
Attack 4th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
LDWLW
- L 1-3 v Sp Lisbon 2026-10-09
- D 0-0 at Santa Clara 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Estoril 2026-09-14
- L 1-2 at Estrela 2026-09-10
- W 2-1 at Alverca 2026-09-05
Gil Vicente
Attack 11th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
WDLLD
- W 1-0 at Moreirense 2026-10-09
- D 1-1 v Maritimo 2026-09-19
- L 1-3 at Benfica 2026-09-13
- L 0-1 v Academico Viseu 2026-09-06
- D 0-0 at Famalicao 2026-08-30
From 683 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.