Monza vs Cagliari prediction
Italy Serie A · Monday 19 October 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cagliari to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Monza 24% at home, a draw 25% and Cagliari 51%, so its call is 2: Cagliari to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 30% / 33%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Monza and 1.6 for Cagliari; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Monza, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Monza
Attack 17th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Lazio 2026-10-11
- W 2-1 v Sassuolo 2026-09-18
- L 2-3 at Lecce 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 at Parma 2026-09-06
- L 2-3 v Udinese 2026-08-29
Cagliari
Attack 15th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Juventus 2026-10-11
- W 1-0 at Udinese 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 at Atalanta 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 v Lecce 2026-09-07
- L 0-1 v Inter 2026-08-30
From 828 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Mon 19 Oct
- Parma vs Torino · FT 0–3