Celta B vs Tenerife prediction
Spain Segunda · Monday 19 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Celta B to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Celta B 54% at home, a draw 23% and Tenerife 23%, so its call is 1: Celta B to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 29% / 38%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Celta B and 1.1 for Tenerife; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Celta B, Tenerife, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Celta B
Attack 4th of 22, defence 21st of 22 in the league.
- W 4-1 v Sociedad B 2026-10-10
- L 2-3 at Sp Gijon 2026-10-04
- D 1-1 v Sabadell 2026-09-26
- L 0-2 at Almeria 2026-09-20
- L 0-4 v Eibar 2026-09-14
Tenerife
Attack 21st of 22, defence 11th of 22 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Girona 2026-10-12
- L 2-3 at Cordoba 2026-10-05
- D 1-1 v Cadiz 2026-09-26
- L 0-5 at Castellon 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 v Leganes 2026-09-13
From 1033 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.